Selected Publications of the Global Change Hydrology (Hydroclimatology) Program, 1998-Present

(In approximate order by year, most recent first.)

--2005--

Benson, L., Madole, R., Landis, G., and Gosse, J., 2005, New data for Late Pleistocene Pinedale alpine glaciation from southwestern Colorado: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 24, p. 49-65. (on-line abstract)

Chang,A.T.C, Kelly,R.E.J., Josberger,E.G., Armstrong,R.L., Foster,J.L., Mognard,N.M., 2005. Analysis of ground-measured and passive-microwave-derived snow depth variations in midwinter across the Northern Great Plains. Journal of Hydrometeorology 6, 20-33.

Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Changes in streamflow timing in the western United States in recent decades: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3018. (on-line fact sheet in html or on-line fact sheet in pdf format)

Dettinger, M.D., 2005. From climate-change spaghetti to climate-change distributions for 21st Century California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science 3(1), (online at http://repositories.cdlib.org/jmie/sfews/vol3/iss1/art4/ accessed 6/22/2005).

Hanson, R.T., Dettinger,M.D., 2005. Ground Water/Surface Water Responses to Global Climate Simulations, Santa Clara-Calleguas Basin, Ventura, California. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 41(3):517-536.

Hidalgo, H.G., Cayan, D.R., and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Sources of variability of evapotranspiration in California: Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6, 3-19.

Hodgkins,G.A., Dudley,R.W., 2005. Changes in the Magnitude of Annual and Monthly Streamflows in New England, 1902-2002. U.S.Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5135, 36 p.

Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., 2005. Changes in Streamflow Timing in New England During the 20th Century. U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3019.

Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., Huntington, T.G., 2005. Summer Low Flows in New England during the 20th Century. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 41(2):403-412.

Jackson, S.T., Betancourt, J.L., Lyford, M.E., and Gray, S.E., and Rylander, K.A., 2005, A 40,000-year woodrat-midden record of vegetational and biogeographic dynamics in northeastern Utah: Journal of Biogeography, v. 32, p. 1,085-1,106. (on-line abstract)

Latorre, C.L., Betancourt, J.L., Rech, J.A., Quade, J., Holmgren, C., Placzek, C.P., Vuille, M., and Rylander, K.A. 2005, Late Quaternary history of the Atacama Desert, in Smith, M., and Hesse, P., eds., 23 Degrees South: Archaeology and Environmental History of the Southern Deserts: Canberra, National Museum of Australia, p. 73-90.

Lins, H., 2005, Streamflow Trends in the United States. U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3017.

Lundquist, J.D., and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, How snowpack heterogeneity affects diurnal streamflow timing: Water Resources Research, 41, W05007, doi:10.1029/2004WR003649, 14 p. (on-line abstrat)

Lundquist, J.D., Dettinger, M.D., and Cayan, D.R., 2005, Snow-fed streamflow timing at different basin scales: Case study of the Tuolumne River above Hetch Hetchy, Yosemite, California: Water Resources Research, 41, W07005, doi:10.1029/2004WR003933, 14 p. (on-line abstract)

Milly, P.C.D., 2005. Trends in the Water Budget of the Mississippi River Basin, 1949-1997. U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet Fact Sheet 2005-3020.

Stewart, I., Cayan, D., and Dettinger, M., 2005, Changes towards earlier streamflow timing across western North America: Journal of Climate, 18, 1136-1155.

--2004--

Benson, L., 2004, The Tufas of Pyramid Lake, Nevada. U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1267, 14pp. (on-line circular or on-line circular in pdf format, 18.9 MB)

Benson, L., 2004, Western lakes, in Gillespie, A.R., Porter, S.C., and Atwater, B., eds., The Quaternary Period in the United States--Developments in Quaternary Science: Amsterdam, Elsevier, p. 185-204.

Benson, L.V., 2004, The tufas of Pyramid Lake, Nevada: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2004-3044.

Benson, L.V., Madole, R., Phillips, W., Landis, G., Thomas, T., and Kubik, P., 2004, The probable importance of snow and sediment shielding on cosmogenic ages of north-central Colorado Pinedale and pre-Pinedale moraines: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 23, no 1-2, p. 193-206. (on-line abstract)

Betancourt, J.L. 2004, Arid lands paleobiogeography: The fossil rodent midden record in the Americas, in Lomolino, M.V. and Heaney, L.R., eds., Frontiers in Biogeography: New Directions in the Geography of Nature: Sunderland, Sinauer Associates, p. 27-46.

Bidlake, W.R., Josberger, E.G., and Savoca, M.E., 2004, Water, Ice, and Meteorological Measurements at South Cascade Glacier, Washington, Balance Year 2002: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2004-5089, 38 p.

Clark, M.P., and Hay, L.E., 2004, Use of medium-range numerical weather prediction output to produce forecasts of stream flow: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 5, no. 1, p. 15-32. (on-line abstract)

Clark, M.P., Gangopadhyay, S., Hay, L.E., Rajagopalan, B., and Wilby, R., 2004, The Schaake shuffle - a method for reconstructing space-time variability in forecasted precipitation and temperature fields: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 5, no. 1, p. 243-262.(on-line abstract)

Clark, M.P., Gangopadhyay, S., Brandon, D., Werner, K., Hay, L., Rajagopalan, B., and Yates, D., 2004, A resampling procedure for generating conditioned daily weather sequences: Water Resources Research, v. 40, no. 4. (on-line abstract)

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., Meyer, M.K., and Jeton, A.E., 2004, Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and changes in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099, Climatic Change 62, 283-317.

Dettinger, M.D., Redmond, K.T., and Cayan, D.R., 2004, Winter orographic precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada -- Large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences: J. Hydrometeorology, 5, 1102-1116.

Gray, S.T., Fastie, C.L., Jackson, S.T., and Betancourt, J.L., 2004, Tree-ring-based reconstruction of precipitation in the Bighorn Basin, Wyoming, since 1260 A.D.: Journal of Climate, v. 17, p. 3,855-3,865. (on-line abstract)

Gray, S.T., Graumlich, L.J., Betancourt, J.L., and Pederson, G.T., 2004, A tree-ring based reconstruction of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation since 1567 A.D.: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL019932. (on-line abstract or on-line publication in pdf format)

Gray, S.T., Jackson, S.T., and Betancourt, J.L., 2004, Tree-ring based reconstructions of interannual to decadal scale precipitation variability for northeastern Utah since 1226 A.D.: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 40, p. 947-960. (on-line abstract or journal article in pdf format)

Hanson, R.T., Newhouse, M.W., and Dettinger, M.D., 2004, A methodology to assess relations between climate variability and variations in hydrologic time series in the southwestern United States: Journal of Hydrology, v. 287, p. 252-269. (on-line abstract)

Huntington, T.G., Hodgkins, G.A., Keim, B.D., and Dudley, R.W., 2004, Changes in the proportion of precipitation occurring as snow in New England (1949 to 2000), Journal of Climate 17:2626-2636.

Knowles, N., and Cayan, D., 2004, Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in the San Francisco Estuary and watershed: Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 319-336. (on-line abstract or on-line report in pdf format)

Landwehr, J.M., and Coplen, T.B., 2004, The oxygen and hydrogen ratios in waters from the largest river systems of the United States: Isotope Hydrology and Integrated Water Resources Management, IAEA-CSP-23, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, p. 402-403.

Lundquist, J.D., Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., 2004, Spring onset in the Sierra Nevada: When is snowmelt independent of elevation? Journal of Hydrometeorology 5, 327-342.

Manabe S., Milly, P.C.D., and Wetherald, R., 2004, Simulated long-term changes in river discharge and soil moisture due to global warming: Hydrological Sciences, v. 49, no. 4, p. 625-642. (on-line abstract and on-line article in pdf format)

Manabe, S., Wetherald, R.T., Milly, P.C.D., Delworth, T.L., and Stouffer, R.J., 2004: Century-scale change in water availability: CO2-quadrupling experiment. Climatic Change, v. 64, no. 1-2, 59-76. (on-line abstract or on-line article in pdf format)

Mayo, L.R., Trabant, D.C., March, R.S., 2004, A 30-year record of surface mass balance (1966-95) and motion and surface altitude (1975-95) at Wolverine Glacier, Alaska. USGS Open-File Report 2004-1069, 105 p.

McCabe, G.J., Palecki, M.A., Betancourt, J.L., 2004, Pacific and Atlantic Ocean influences of multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proceedings, National Academy of Sciences 101(12)4136-4141.

Mensing, S.A, Benson, L.V., Kashgarian, M., and Lund, S., 2004, A Holocene pollen record of persistent droughts from Pyramid Lake, Nevada, USA: Quaternary Research, v. 62, p. 29-38. (on-line abstract)

Simpson, J.J., Dettinger, M.D., Gehrke, F, McIntire, T.J. Hufford, G.L., 2004. Hydrologic scales, cloud variability, remote sensing, and models: Implications for forecasting snowmelt and streamflow. Weather and Forecasting 19, 251-276.

Stewart, I.T, Cayan,D.R., and Dettinger,M.D., 2004, Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a 'Business as usual' climate change scenario: Climatic Change 62, 217-232.

Webb, R.H., McCabe, G.J., Hereford, R., and Wilkowske, C., 2004, Climatic fluctuations, drought, and flow on the Colorado River: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2004-3062 (version 2).

--2003--

Benson, L.V., Barber, D., Andrews, J.T., Taylor, H.E., Lamothe, P., 2003, Rare-earth elements and Nd and Pb isotopes as source indicators for Labrador Sea clay-size sediments during Heinrich event 2: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 22, p. 881-889.

Benson, L.V., Linsley, B., Smoot, J., Mensing, S., Lund, S., Stine, S., Sarna-Wojcicki, A., 2003, Influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the climate of the Sierra Nevada, California and Nevada: Quaternary Research, v. 59, no. 2, p. 151-159.

Benson, L.V., Liddicoat, J.C., Smoot, J.P., Sarna-Wojcicki, A., Negrini, R.M., and Lund, S.P., 2003, The age of the Mono Lake excursion: Quaternary Science Reviews vol. 22, p. 135-140.

Benson, L., Lund, S., Negrini, R., Braddock, L., and Zic, M., 2003, Response of North American Great Basin Lakes to Dansgaard-Oeschger oscillations: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 22, p. 2,239-2,251. (on-line abstract)

Bromirski, P.D., Flick, R.E., and Cayan, D.R., 2003, Storminess variability along the California Coast: 1858-2000: Journal of Climate, v. 16, p. 982-993. (on-line abstract)

Dettinger, M.D., and Cayan, D.R., 2003. Interseasonal covariability of Sierra Nevada streamflow and San Francisco Bay salinity: Journal of Hydrology, v. 277, p. 164-181.

Erbe, E.F., Rango, A., Foster, J., Josberger, E.G., Pooley, C., Wergin, W.P., 2003. Collecting, shipping, storing, and imaging snow crystals and ice grains with low-temperature scanning electron microscopy. Microscopy Research and Technique 62, 19-32.

Gershunov, A., and Cayan, D.R., 2003, Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous U.S.: Sources of climatic variability and predictability: Journal of Climate, v.16, no. 16, p. 2752-2765. (on-line abstract)

Gray, S.T., Betancourt, J.L., Fastie, C.L, Jackson, S.T, 2003, Patterns and sources of multidecadal oscillations in drought-sensitive tree-ring records from the central and southern Rocky Mountains. Geophysical Research Letters 30(6)1316, doi:10.1029/2002GL016154. (on-line abstract)

Guo, J., Tsang, L., Josberger, E.G., Wood, A.W., Hwang,J., Lettenmaier, D.P., 2003. Mapping the spatial distribution and time evolution of snow water equivalent with passive microwave measurements. IEEE transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 41(3)612-621.

Hay, L.E., and Clark, M.P., 2003, Use of a statistically and dynamically downscaled atmospheric model output for hydrologic simulations in three mountainous basins in the western United States: Journal of Hydrology, v. 482, p. 56-75. (on-line abstract)

Hereford, R., Webb, R.H., and Longpre, C.I., 2004, Precipitation history of the Mojave Desert region 1893-2001: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 117-03.

Hodgkins, GA Dudley, RW Huntington, TG 2003. Changes in the timing of high river flows in New England over the 20th Century. Journal of Hydrology 278, 244-252.

Huntington, T.G., G.A. Hodgkins, and R.W. Dudley. 2003. Historical trend in river ice thickness and coherence in hydroclimatological trends in Maine. Climatic Change 61:217-236.

Liu, S., Bliss, N.,Sundquist, E., and Huntington, T.G., 2003, Modeling carbon dynamics in vegetation and soil under the impact of soil erosion and deposition: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v. 17, no. 2.

Meier, M., Dyurgerov, M., and McCabe, G.J., 2003, The health of glaciers - recent changes in glacier regime: Climatic Change: v. 59, p. 123-135.

Milly, P.C.D., Cazenave, A., and Gennero, M.C., 2003, Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciencies, v. 100, no. 23, p.13158-13161. (on-line abstract)

Mognard,N.M., Kouraev,A.V., Josberger,E.G. 2003. Global snow-cover evolution from twenty years of satellite passive microwave data. IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS 2003), Proceedings, ISBN 0-7803-7930-6 (CD-Rom edition), Toulouse, France, July 21-25, 2003.

Rango, A., Foster, J., Josberger, E.G., Erbe, E.F., Pooley, C., Wergin, W.P., 2003. Rime and graupel: Description and characterization as revealed by low-temperature scanning electron microscopy. Scanning 25, 121-131.

Sundquist, E.T. and Visser, K, 2003, The geological history of the carbon cycle, in Schlesinger, W.H., ed., Biogeochemistry, Treatise on Geochemistry, v. 8, : Elsevier, Chapt. 9. (on-line summary plus) doi:10.1016/B0-08-043751-6/08133-0

Swenson, S., Wahr, J., and Milly, P.C.D. 2003, Estimated accuracies of regional water storage variations inferred from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE): Water Resources Research, v. 39, no. 8, 1223 (on-line abstract or on-line report in pdf format)

White, W.B., Tourre, Y.M., Barlow, M., and Dettinger, M., 2003, A delayed action oscillator shared by biennial, interannual, and decadal signals in the Pacific Basin: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 108, no. C3, p. 15.

--2002--

Benson, L., Kashgarian, M.; Rye, R., Lund, S., Paillet, F., Smoot, J., Kester, C., Mensing, S., Meko, D., and Lindstrom, S., 2002, Holocene multidecadal and multicentennial droughts affecting Northern California and Nevada: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 21, p. 659-682.

Benson, L.V., Paillet, F.L., 2002, HIBAL: A hydrologic-isotopic-balance model for application to paleolake systems: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 21, p. 1521-1539.

Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, MD., Redmond, K.T., McCabe, G.J., Knowles, N., and Peterson, D.H., 2003, The transboundary setting of California's water and hydropower systems - Linkages between the Sierra Nevada, Columbia River, and Colorado River hydroclimates, Chapter in Diaz, H.F., and Morehouse, B.J. (eds.), Climate and Water: Transboundary Challenges in the Americas, Kluwer.

Clark, M.P., Hay, L.E., McCabe, G.J., Leavesley, G.H., Serreze, M.C., and Wilby, R.L., 2003, The use of weather and climate information in forecasting water supply in the western United States, in Lewis, W.M., ed., Water and Climate in the Western United States: University of Colorado Press, Boulder, Colorado, p. 69-92.

Collier, M., and Webb, R.H., 2002, Floods, Drought and Climate Change: Tucson, University of Arizona Press, 153 p.

Webb, R.H., Melis, T.S., and Valdez, R.A., 2002, Observations of environmental change in the Grand Canyon: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 02-4080, 33 p.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D., Redmond, K., 2002, United States streamflow probabilities and uncertainties based on anticipated El Nino, water year 2003. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, v. 11, n. 3, p. 46-52 (http://www.iges.org/ellfb).

Elsberg, D. H., Harrrison, W. D., Echelmeyer, K. A., and Krimmel, R.M., 2002, Quantifying the effect of climate and surface change on glacier mass balance: Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 47, No. 159, p. 649-658.

Ghil, M., Allen, R.D., Dettinger, M.D., Ide, K., Kondrashov, D., Mann, M.E., Robertson, A.W., Saunders, A., Tian, Y., Varadi, F., and Yiou, P., 2002, Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series: Reviews of Geophysics, v. 40, no. 1, p. 3-1 - 3-41.

Harrrison, W. D., Elsberg, D. H., Echelmeyer, K. A., and Krimmel, R.M., 2002, On the characterization of glacier response by a single time-scale: Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 47, No. 159, p. 659-664.

Hay, L.E., and McCabe, G.J., 2002, Spatial variability in water-balance model performance in the conterminous United States: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 38, no. 3, p. 847-860.

Hay, L., Clark, M.P., Wilby, R.L., Gutowski, Jr., W.J., Leavesley, G.H., Pan, Z., Arritt, R.W., and Takle. E.S., 2002, Use of regional climate model output for hydrologic simulations: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 3, no. 5 p. 571-590.

Hereford, R., Webb, R.H., and Graham, S., 2002, Precipitation history of the Colorado Plateau region, 1900-2000: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 119-02, 4 p.

Hodgkins,G.A., James,I.C,II, 2002, Historical ice-out dates for 29 lakes in New England. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 02-34, 32 p.

Hodgkins,G.A., James,I.C.,II, and Huntington,T.G., 2002 Historical changes in lake ice-out dates as indicators of climate change in New England, 1850-2000. International Journal of Climatology, v. 22, no. 15, p. 1819-1827.

Knowles, N., and Cayan, D.R., 2002, Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 29, no. 18, p, 1-5. (on-line abstract)

Krimmel, R.M., 2002, Water, ice, and meteorological measurements at South Cascade Glacier, Washington, 2000 - 01 Balance Years: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 02-4165, 63 p.

Kukla, G.J., Bender, M.L., de Beaulieu, J.-L., Bond, G.C., Broecker, W.S., Cleveringa, P., Gavin, J.E., Herbert, T.D., Imbrie, J., Jouzel, J., Keigwin, L.D., Knudsen, K.-L., McManus, J.F., Merkt, J., Muhs, D.R., Mueller, H., Poore, R.Z., Porter, S.C., Seret, G., Shackleton, N.J., Turner, C., Tzedakis, P.C., and Winograd, I.J., 2002, Last interglacial climates: Quaternary Research, v. 58, no. 1, p. 2-13.

Josberger, E.G., Mognard, N.M, 2002. A passive microwave snow depth algorithm with a proxy for snow metamorphism. Hydrological Processes 16, 1557-1568.

Landwehr, J.M., 2002, Ice core depth-age relation for Vostok D and Dome Fuji 18O records based on the Devils Hole paleotemperature chronology: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 02-266, 53 p.

Latorre, C.L., Betancourt, J. L., Rylander, K. A., and Quade, J. A., 2002, Vegetation invasions into Absolute Desert: a 45,000-year rodent midden record from the Calama-Salar de Atacama Basins, Chile. Geological Society of America Bulletin 114, 349-366.

Lundquist, J.D., and Cayan, D.R., 2002, Seasonal and spatial patterns in diurnal cycles in streamflow in the western United States: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 3, no. 5, p. 591-603.

McCabe, G.J. and Muller, R.A., 2002, Effects of ENSO on weather-type frequencies and properties at New Orleans, Louisiana, USA. Climate Research, v. 20, no. 2, p. 95-105.

McCabe, G.J. and Wolock, D.M., 2002, A step increase in streamflow in the conterminous United States. Geophysical Research Letters 29(24)2185, doi:10.1029/2002GL015999.

McCabe, G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 2002, Trends and Effects of Increased Temperature on Moisture Conditions in the Conterminous United States. Climate Research, 20:19-29.

McCabe, G.J., Dettinger, M.D., 2002. Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology 3, 13-25.

Milly, P.C.D., and Dunne, K.A., 2002, Macroscale water fluxes 1. Quantifying errors in the estimation of basin mean precipitation: Water Resources Research, v. 38, no. 10. (on-line abstract or on-line pdf)

Milly, P.C.D., and Dunne, K.A., 2002, Macroscale water fluxes 2. Water and energy supply control of their interannual variability: Water Resources Research, v. 38, no. 10. (on-line pdf)

Milly, P.C.D., and Shmakin, A.B., 2002, Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part I: The land dynamics (LaD) model. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 283-299.

Milly, P.C.D., and Shmakin, A.B., 2002, Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part II: Land-characteristic contributions to spatial variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 301-310.

Milly, P.C.D., and Wetherald, R.T., 2002, Macroscale water fluxes 3. Effects of land processes on variability of monthly river discharge: Water Resources Research, v. 38, no. 11 (on-line abstract or on-line pdf).

Milly, P.C.D., R.T. Wetherald, K.A. Dunne, and T.L. Delworth, 2002, Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate. Nature, 415(6871), 514-517.

Mognard, N.M., Josberger, E.G., 2002, Northern Great Plains 1996/97 seasonal evolution of snowpack parameters from satellite passive-microwave measurements. Annals of Glaciology 34, 15-23.

Naftz, D.L., Susong, D.D., Schuster, P.F., Cecil, L.D., Dettinger, M.D., Michel, R.L., and Kendall, C., 2002, Ice core evidence of rapid air temperature increases since 1960 in alpine areas of the Wind River Range, Wyoming, United States: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 107, p. ACL 3-1 - ACL 3-15 .

Papa, F., Legresy, B., Mognard, N.M., Josberger, E.G., Remy, F., 2002, Estimating terrestrial snow depth with the Topex-Poseidon altimeter and radiometer. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing 40(10)2162-2169.

Pearson, S. and Betancourt, J.L., 2002, Understanding arid environments using fossil rodent middens. Journal of Arid Environments v. 50, 499-511.

Rech, J.A., Quade, J., and Betancourt, J.L., 2002, Late Quaternary paleohydrology of the central Atacama Desert (22-24°S), Chile. Geological Society of America Bulletin 114, 334-348.

Schlosser, C.A. and Milly, P.C.D., 2002: A model-based investigation of soil moisture predictability and associated climate predictability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(4), 483-501.

Shmakin, A.B., Milly, P.C.D., and Dunne, K.A., 2002: Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part III: Interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 311-321.

Stallard, R., 2002, The Biogeochemistry of the Amazon Basin: Too Little Mud, and Perhaps Too Much Water. Hydrological Processes 16(10)2047-2050.

Sundquist, E., among 23 others, 2002, The North American Carbon Program (NACP), A Report of the NACP Committee of the U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Steering Group. Available from the U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, D.C., 56 p.

Turnipseed, A.A., Blanken, P.D., Anderson, D.E., Monson, R.K., 2002, Energy budget above a high-elevation subalpine forest in complex topography: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v. 110, p. 177-201.

Winograd, I.J., 2002, The California Current, Devils Hole, and Pleistocene climate: Science, v. 296 (published online at www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/296/5565/7a)

Winograd, I.J., 2002, Evidence from uranium series-dated speleothems for the timing of the penultimate deglaciation of northwestern Europe: Quaternary Research (in press).

--2001--

Biondi, F., Gershunov, A., and Cayan, D.R., 2001, North Pacific decadal climate variability since 1661: Journal of Climate, v. 14, no. 1, p. 5-10.

Baker, V.R., Webb, R.H., and House, P.K., 2001, The scientific and societal value of paleoflood hydrology in House, P.K., Webb, R.H., Baker, V.R., and Levish, D.R., eds., Ancient floods and modern hazards, principles and applications of paleoflood hydrology: American Geophysical Union Water Science and Application Series, v. 4, p. 1-19.

Blainey, J.B., Webb, R.H., Moss, M.E., and Baker, V.R., 2001, Bias and information content of paleoflood data in flood-frequency analysis in House, P.K., Webb R.H., Baker, V.R., and Levish, D.R., eds., Ancient floods, modern hazards, principles and applications of paleoflood hydrology: American Geophysical Union Water Science and Application Series, v. 5, p. 161-174.

Cayan, D.R., Kammerdiener, S.A., Dettinger, M.D., Caprio, J.M., and Peterson, D.H., 2001, Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82(3)399-415. Reply to comments 2265-2266.

Clark, M.P., Serreze, M.C., McCabe, G.J., 2001, Historical effects of El Nino and La Nina events on the seasonal evolution of the montane snowpack in the Columbia and Colorado River Basins: Water Resources Research, v. 37, p. 741-758.

Fenton, C.R., Webb, R.H., Cerling, T.E., Poreda, R.J., and Nash, B.P., 2001, Cosmogenic 3He ages and geochemical discrimination of lava-dam outburst-flood deposits in western Grand Canyon, Arizona in House, P.K., Webb, R.H., Baker, V.R., and Levish, D.R., eds., Ancient floods, modern hazards, principles and applications of paleoflood hydrology: American Geophysical Union Water Science and Application Series, v. 5, p. 191-215.

Holmgren, C., Betancourt, J.L., Rylander, K.A., Roque, J., Tovar, O., Zeballos, H., Linares, E., and Quade, J., 2001, Holocene vegetation history from fossil rodent middens near Arequipa Peru. Quaternary Research. 56, 242-251.

House, P.K., Webb, R.H., Baker, V.R., and Levish, D.R., eds., 2001, Ancient floods, modern hazards, principles and applications of paleoflood hydrology: American Geophysical Union Water Science and Application Series, v. 5, 385 p.

Hunter, K.L., Betancourt, J.L., Riddle, B.R., Van Devender, T.R., Cole, K.L., and Spaulding, W.G., 2001, Ploidy race distributions since the Last Glacial Maximum in the North American desert shrub, Larrea tridentata. Global Ecology and Biogeography 10, 521-533.

Koster, R.D., Dirmeyer, P.A., Milly, P.C.D., and Russell, G.L., 2001: Comparing GCM-generated land surface water budgets using a simple common framework. In, Land Surface Hydrology, Meteorology, and Climate: Observations and Modeling, Water Science and Application, Vol. 3, Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union, 95-105.

Krimmel, R.M., 2001, Photgrammetric data set, 1957-2000, and bathymetric measurements for Columbia Glacier, Alaska. U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 01-4089, 40 p. plus CD-ROM

Krimmel, R.M., 2001, Water, ice, meteorological, and speed measurements at South Cascade Glacier, Washington, 1999 balance year. U.S.Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 00-4265, 36 p.

Landwehr, J. M. and Winograd, I. J., 2001, Dating the Vostok ice core record by importing the Devils Hole chronology: Journal of Geophysical Research v. 106, no. D23, pp. 31, 853-31, 861.

McCabe, G.J., Clark, M.P., and Serreze, M.C., 2001, Trends in northern hemisphere surface cyclone frequency and intensity: Journal of Climate, v. 14, p. 2763-2768.

Milly, P.C.D., 2001: A minimalist probabilistic description of root zone soil water. Water Resources Research, 37(3), 457-463.

Milly, C. among 40 others, 2001: 9. Projections of future climate change. In Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 526-582.

Milly, P.C.D., and Dunne, K.A., 2001: Trends in evaporation and surface cooling in the Mississippi River basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(7), 1219-1222.

Placzek, C., Quade, J. and Betancourt, J.L., 2001, Holocene lake level fluctuations of Lago Aricota, southern Peru. Quaternary Research 56, 181-190.

Quade, J., Rech, J., Betancourt, J.L. and Latorre, C. 2001. Mid-Holocene climate in the south-central Andes: Humid or Dry? Science 292, 2391.

Revesz, K.M., Landwehr, J.M., Keybl, J., 2001. Measurement of d13C and d18O Isotopic Ratios of CaCO3 using a Thermoquest Finnigan GasBench II Delta Plus XL Continuous Flow Isotope Ratio Mass Spectrometer with Application to Devils Hole Core DH-11 Calcite: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 01-257, 17 p.

Striegl, R.G., and Wickland, K.P., 2001, Soil Respiration and Photosynthetic Uptake of Carbon Dioxide by Ground-Cover Plants in Four Ages of Jack Pine Forest: Canadian Journal for Forest Research, v. 31, p. 1540 - 1550.

Sundquist, E.T., Stallard, R.F., among 21 others, 2001, Consistent land- and atmosphere-based U.S. carbon sink estimates: Science, v. 292, no. 5525, p. 2316-2320.

van Dam, T., Wahr, J., Milly, P.C.D., Shmakin, A.B., Blewitt, G., Lavallee, D., and Larson, K.M., 2001: Crustal displacements due to continental water loading. Geophysical Research Letters, 28( 4), 651-654.

Webb, R.H., Blainey, J.B., and Hyndman, D.W., 2001, Paleoflood hydrology of the Paria River, southern Utah and northern Arizona, USA in House, P.K., Webb, R.H., Baker, V.R., and Levish, D.R., eds., Ancient floods, modern hazards, principles and applications of paleoflood hydrology: American Geophysical Union Water Science and Application Series, v. 5, p. 295-310.

Wickland, K.P., Striegl, R.G., Mast, M.A., and Clow, D.W., 2001, Carbon gas exchange at a southern Rocky Mountain wetland, 1996-1998: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v. 15, no. 2, p. 321-335.

Winograd, I.J., 2001, The magnitude and proximate cause of ice-sheet growth since 35,000 yr B. P.: Quaternary Research v. 56, pp. 299-307.

White, W.B.,Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., and Auad, G., 2001, Sources of global warming in upper ocean temperature during El Nino: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 106, no. C3, p. 4349-4367.

--2000--

Betancourt, J.L., Latorre, C., Rech, J. A., Quade, J., and Rylander, K. A. 2000. A 22,000-yr record of monsoonal precipitation from northern Chile's Atacama Desert. Science 289, 1542-1546.

Clark, P.U., Marshall, S.J., Clarke, G.K.C., Hostetler, S.W., Licciardi, J.M., and Teller, J.T., 2000, Freshwater forcing of abrupt climate change during the last glacial cycle. Science293:283-287.

Cihlar, J., Grabs W., and Landwehr, J.M., eds., 2000, Establishment of a Global Hydrological Observation Network for Climate - Report of GCOS/GTOS/HWRP Expert Meeting: Series Report GCOS 63, GTOS 26, WMO/TD-No. 1047, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, 93 p. (Available online at http://www.wmo.ch/web/homs/geisenheim.pdf)

Dettinger, M.D., and Diaz, H.F., 2000. Global characteristics of streamflow seasonality and variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1, 289-310.

Dettinger. M.D., Cayan, D.R., McCabe, G.J., and Redmond, K.T., 2000. Winter-Spring 2001 United States Streamflow Probabilities based on Anticipated Neutral ENSO Conditions and Recent NPO Status. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, vol. 9.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., McCabe, G.J., and Marengo, J.A., 2000, Multiscale streamflow variability associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation in Diaz, H.F., and Markgraf, V., eds., El Nino and the Southern Oscillation: New York, Cambridge University Press, p. 114-147.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., McCabe, G.J., Jr., and Redmond, K.R., 2000, Winter-spring 2001 United States streamflow probabilities based on anticipated neutral ENSO conditions and recent NPO status: Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, v. 9, no. 3, p. 55-60.

Dettinger, M.D., Battisti, D.S., McCabe, G.J., Jr., Garreaud, R.D., and Bitz, C.C., 2000. Interhemispheric effects of interannual and decadal ENSO-like climate variations on the Americas, in Markgraf, V. (ed.), Interhemispheric climate linkages: Present and Past Climates in the Americas and their Societal Effects, Academic Press, 1-16.

Gershunov, A., Barnett, T.P., Cayan, D.R., Tubbs, T., and Goddard, L., 2000, Predicting and downscaling ENSO impacts on intraseasonal precipitation statistics in California: The 1997/98 Event: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 1, no. 3, p. 201-210.

Hostetler, S.W., Clark, P.U., 2000, Tropical climate at the Last Glacial Maximum inferred from glacier mass-balance modeling. Science 290, 1747-1750 (1 December 2000).

Hostetler, S.W., Bartlein, P.J., Clark, P.U., Small, E.E., and Solomon, A.M., 2000, Simulated influences of Lake Agassiz on the climate of central North America 11,000 years ago. Nature 405, 334-337, 18 May 2000.

Josberger, E.G., Bellinger, T. and True, M.A., 2000, Fine scale snow-depth distributions in the Colorado Rocky Mountains. pages 131-138, Applications of Remote Sensing in Hydrology, National Water Research Institute, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.

Krimmel, R.M., 2000, Water, ice, and meteorological measurements at South Cascade Glacier, Washington, 1986-1991 balance years. U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 00-4006, 77p.

McCabe, G.J., Fountain, A.G., and Dyurgerov, M., 2000, Variability in winter mass balance of Northern Hemisphere glaciers and relations with atmospheric circulation: Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research, v. 32, p. 64-72.

Peterson, D.H., Smith, R.E., Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., and Riddle, L., 2000. An organized signal in snowmelt runoff over the western United States: Journal of American Water Resources Association, 36 (2), 421-432.

--1999--

Anderson, D.E., R.G. Striegl, D.I. Stannard, C.M. Michmerhuizen, T.A. McConnaughey, and J.W. LaBaugh, 1999. Estimating lake-atmosphere CO2 exchange. Limnology and Oceanography, 44:988-1001.

Cayan, D.R., K.T. Redmond, and L.G. Riddle, 1999. ENSO and hydrologic extremes in the Western United States. Journal of Climate 12(9)2881-2893.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., and Redmond, K.T., 1999. United States streamflow probabilities based on forecasted La Nina, winter-spring 2000: December 1999 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, v. 8(4), 57-61.

Diaz, H.F., and G.J. McCabe, 1999, A Possible Connection Between the Yellow Fever Epidemic in the Southern United States and the 1877-78 El Nino Episode. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 80:21-27.

Hostetler, S.W., and Small. E.E., 1999, Response of North American freshwater lakes to simulated future climates, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol., 35, p. 1625-1637.

Hostetler, S.W., and Mix, A.C., 1999, Reassessment of ice-age cooling of the tropical ocean and atmosphere. Nature 399: 673-676.

Hostetler, S.W., Clark, P.U., Bartlein, P.J., Mix, A.C., and Pisias, N.J., 1999, Atmospheric transmission of North Atlantic Heinrich Events, Journal of Geophysical Research 104(D4):3947-3952.

Ledley, T.S., Sundquist, E.T., Schwartz, S.E., Hall, D.K., Fellows, J.D., and Killeen, T.L., 1999, Climate change and greenhouse gases: EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union, v. 80, no. 39, p. 453-454, 457-458. (on-line article)

Lins, H.F., and Slack, J.R., 1999, Streamflow trends in the United States: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 26, p. 227-230.

McCabe, G.J., and Dettinger, M.D., 1999, Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the Western United States, International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 19, p. 1399-1410.

McCabe, G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 1999. General-Circulation-Model Simulations of Future Snowpack in the Western United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 35:1473-1484.

McCabe, G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 1999, General-Circulation-Model Simulations of Future Snowpack in the Western United States. Proceedings, Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, American Water Resources Association, Atlanta, Georgia, p. 123-127.

Milly, P.C.D., 1999, Factors determining the partitioning of precipitation into evaporation and runoff, in Browning, K.A., and Gurney, R.J., eds., Global Energy and Water Cycles: Cambridge Univ. Press, p. 247-253.

Mix, A.C., Morey, A.E., Pisias, N.G., and Hostetler, S.W., 1999, Foraminiferal faunal estimates of paleotemperature: Circumventing the no-analog problem yields cool ice age tropics, Paleoceanography v.14, no.3, p. 350-359.

Peterson, D.H., Smith, R.E., Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R. and Riddle, L., 1999, An organized signal in snowmelt runoff over the west, In D.B. Adams Ed., Proceedings of a Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Changes to Water Resources of the United States, American Water Resources Association, p. 129-137.

Sarmiento, J.L., Wofsy, S.C., Shea, E., Denning, A.S., Easterling, W., Field, C., Fung, I., Keeling, R., McCarthy, J., Pacala, S., Post, W.M., Schimel, D., Sundquist, E.T., Tans, P., Weiss, R., Yoder, J., 1999, A U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Plan: Available from U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington , D.C., 69 p. (on-line pdf file)

Small, E.E., Sloan, L.C., Hostetler,S., Giorgi, F., 1999, Simulating the water balance of the Aral Sea with a coupled regional climate-lake model, J. Geophys. Res., 104(D6), 6583-6602, doi:10.1029/98JD02348. (on-line abstract)

Sundquist, E.T., 1999, Seawater pH and atmospheric carbon dioxide: Science, v. 286, p. 2043.

Wickland, K.P., Striegl, R.G., Schmidt, S.K., and Mast, M.A., 1999, Methane flux in subalpine wetland and unsaturated soils in the southern Rocky Mountains: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v. 13, p. 101-113.

Wolock, D.M., and McCabe, G.J., 1999 Estimates of runoff using water-balance and atmostpheric circulation models, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 35, p. 1341-1350.

Wolock, D.M., and McCabe, G.J., 1999, Explaining spatial variability in annual runoff in the conterminous United States: Climate Research, v. 11, p. 149-159.

Wolock, D.M., and McCabe, G.J., 1999, Simulated Effects of Climate Change on Mean Annual Runoff in the Conterminous United States. Proceedings, Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, American Water Resources Association, Atlanta, Georgia, p. 161-164.

--1998--

Benson, L.V., 1999, Records of millennial-scale climate change from the Great Basin of the Western United States: Mechanisms of Global Climate Change at Millennial Time Scales: Geophysical Monograph 112, p. 203-225.

Benson, L.V., Lund, S.P., Burdett, J.W., Kashgarian, M., Rose, T.P., Smoot, J.P., and Schwartz, M., 1998, Correlation of late-Pleistocene lake-level oscillations on Mono Lake, California, with North Atlantic climate events: Quaternary Research, v. 49, p. 1-10.

Benson, L.V., May, H.M., Antweiler, R.C., Brinton, T.I., Kashgarian, M., Smoot, J.P., and Lund, S.P., 1998, Continuous lake-sediment records of glaciation in the Sierra Neveda between 52,600 and 12,500 14C yr B.P.: Quaternary Research, v. 50, p. 113-127.

Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., Diaz, H.F., and Graham, N.E., 1998, Decadal climate variability of preciptitation over western North America: J. of Climate, v. 11, p. 3148-3166.

Dettinger, M.D., and Ghil, M., 1998, Seasonal and interannual variations of atmospheric CO2 concentrations and climate: Tellus 50B, 1-24.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., Diaz, H.F., and Meko, D., 1998, North-south precipitation patterns in western North America on interannual-to-decadal time scales: Journal of Climate, v. 11, p. 3095-3111.

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., McCabe, Jr., J.G., and Marengo, J.A., 1998, Multiscale hydrological variablity associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation: Chapter V in El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Multi-Scale Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales of Climate Variability, National Research Council, 133-151.

Hodge, S.M., Trabant, D., Krimmel, R.M., Heinrichs, T., March, R.S. and Josberger, E.G., 1998, Climate variations and changes in mass of three glaciers in western North America, Journal of Climate, v. 11, no. 9, September, p. 2161-2179.

Josberger, E.G., Mognard, N.M., Lind, B., Matthews, R., and Carroll, T., 1998, Snowpack water-equivalent estimates from satellite and aircraft remote-sensing measurements of the Red River basin, north-central U.S.A.: Annals of Glaciology, v. 26, p. 119-124.

Lins, H.F., and Stakhiv, E.Z., 1998, Managing the nation's water in a changing climate: J. American Water Resources Assoc., v. 34, p. 1255-1264.

March, R.S., 1998, Mass balance, meteorological, ice motion, surface altitude, and runoff data at Gulkana Glacier, Alaska, 1994 balance year: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 97-4251, 31 p.

McGowan, J.A., Cayan, D.R., and Dorman, L.M., 1998: Climate-ocean variability and ecosystem response in the northeast Pacific. Science, 281, 210-217.

Shuchman, R.A., Josberger, E.G., Russel, C.A., Fischer, K.W., Johannessen, O.M., Johannessen, J., and Gloersen, P., 1998, Greenland Sea Odden sea ice feature: Intra-annual and interannual variability: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 103, no. C6, p. 12,709-12,724.

Sundquist, E.T., Stallard, R.F., Bliss, N.B., Markewich, H.W., Harden, J.W., Pavich, M.J., Dean, W.E., Jr., 1998, MIssissippi Basin Carbon Project Science Plan: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 98-1777, 28 p. (on-line report)

Thompson, R.S., Hostetler, S.W., Bartlein, P.J., Anderson, K.H., 1998, A strategy for assessing potential future changes in climate, hydrology, and vegetation in the western United States. U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1153, 20 pp.

Winter, T.C. and Rosenberry, D.O., 1998, Hydrology of prairie pothole wetlands during drought and deluge: A 17-year study of the Cottonwood Lake wetland complex in North Dakota in the perspective of longer term measured and proxy hydrological records: Climatic Change, v. 40, no, 2, p. 189-209.

Stallard, R.F., 1998, Terrestrial sedimentation and the carbon cycle: Coupling weathering and erosion to carbon burial: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, v. 12, p. 231-252.

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