Historic and projected streamflow for the southwestern United States (1975-2099)

We projected future streamflow outcomes arising from climate change for the southwestern United States during the 21st century due to climate change under two possible greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and 8.5). The results inform water managers about the future risks of drought in their water resource regions by providing bounds on the possible locations and extents of streamflow loss. To get to these results, we used downscaled future and historical climate data from seven models to drive a new, calibrated SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) streamflow model (Wise and others, 2019, Miller and others, 2020). Temperature and precipitation data come from the NASA Earth Exchange (NEX) Downscaled [...]