MODFLOW-2005 and MODPATH6 models used to simulate groundwater flow and transport and base-flow age in two tributaries to the Upper Chester River, Maryland

A steady state three-dimensional groundwater flow (MODFLOW-2005) and advective transport (MODPATH6) model was developed to examine subsurface travel times to wells and receiving streams in two subcatchments contributing to the Upper Chester River, Maryland. The model was calibrated to conditions from 1990 to 2005, the period for which groundwater levels, stream discharge measurements, and atmospheric tracer measurements were jointly available. Six calibrated model scenarios were generated and paired with First Order Second Moment (FOSM) linear uncertainty analysis tools to evaluate (i) the uncertainty of base-flow age estimates as well as (ii) the worth of future data collection. The development of the model input and output files [...]